Recession Odds Plunge: U.S. Economic Fears Ease to 22%
IntroductionAfter recent trade tensions cooled, the probability of a U.S. recession—once hovering around 60%—has sharply declined. According to prediction market Polymarket, odds are now sitting at approximately 22%, signaling renewed optimism in both investor and consumer sentiment. 1. What’s Polymarket Telling UsPolymarket, a crypto-based prediction market, now places the U.S. recession chance at roughly 22–26%….