IntroductionAfter recent trade tensions cooled, the probability of a U.S. recession—once hovering around 60%—has sharply declined. According to prediction market Polymarket, odds are now sitting at approximately 22%, signaling renewed optimism in both investor and consumer sentiment. 1. What’s Polymarket Telling UsPolymarket, a crypto-based prediction market, now places the U.S. recession chance at roughly 22–26%….
Introduction:The U.S. dollar has recently approached a three-year low, declining by 0.6% against a basket of trade partner currencies. This downturn is attributed to disappointing manufacturing data and escalating concerns over the nation’s growing debt.Financial Times Key Points: Conclusion:The combination of weak manufacturing performance, escalating trade disputes, and mounting debt is exerting significant pressure on…
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has issued a stark warning: the global economy is poised for its weakest growth since the COVID-19 pandemic. In its latest Economic Outlook, the OECD projects global GDP growth to slow to 2.9% in both 2025 and 2026, a significant downgrade from previous forecasts and below the…
