Cerus

Growing Pains and Absent Leaders Cast Shadow Over Rio Brics Summit

LeadAs Brics convenes in Rio this weekend, cracks appear in the bloc’s unity—rapid expansion, ideological divides, and key leadership absences threaten its cohesion and ambitions. 1. Rapid Expansion, Slow Consensus Brics has ballooned from five founding members to eleven, stretching from Brazil and India to Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia. But this meteoric growth has…

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Wall Street Has Claimed Bitcoin — But Is Digital Gold Still a Hedge?

LeadThis week’s chart reveals a seismic shift: bitcoin’s correlation with U.S. equities has surged, dragging it deeper into traditional market dynamics. Once celebrated as anti‑establishment, bitcoin increasingly behaves like a macro‑driven risk asset. 1. From Rebel Asset to Institutional Client Bitcoin, once prized as a hedge and “digital gold,” now moves in sync with stock…

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OPEC+ Presses the Pedal: August Output Set to Surge by 548,000 bpd

IntroductionIn a notable policy shift, OPEC+—led by Saudi Arabia—will accelerate oil output in August, boosting supply by 548,000 barrels per day. This follows steady 411,000 bpd increases in prior months and marks a decisive move from price defense to reclaiming global market share . 1. From Cuts to Claims OPEC+ originally imposed sharp 2.2 million bpd cuts in…

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Recession Odds Plunge: U.S. Economic Fears Ease to 22%

IntroductionAfter recent trade tensions cooled, the probability of a U.S. recession—once hovering around 60%—has sharply declined. According to prediction market Polymarket, odds are now sitting at approximately 22%, signaling renewed optimism in both investor and consumer sentiment. 1. What’s Polymarket Telling UsPolymarket, a crypto-based prediction market, now places the U.S. recession chance at roughly 22–26%….

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Swift Surge: Texas Flash Flood Claims 24 Lives as Children Go Missing

IntroductionIn the pre-dawn hours of July 4, a sudden and monstrous flash flood hit Central Texas’s Hill Country. The Guadalupe River surged over 26 feet in just 45 minutes, catching residents and campers off guard. This tragic event has claimed at least 24 lives, with dozens—including around 23 to 25 girls from Camp Mystic—still missing . 1. A Devastating…

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$8 Billion BTC Awakening: Whale Moves Follow a Shadow BCH Probe

Intro:A staggering $8 billion worth of Bitcoin—approximately 80,000 BTC—has stirred the blockchain after 14 years of dormancy. The transfers, originating from eight wallets funded between 2009 and 2011, all landed in newly minted SegWit addresses. Curiously, a discreet Bitcoin Cash transaction preceded them—raising alarm bells among analysts. 1. The Whale Activity Explained 2. Why the BCH Test?…

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Dragon and Bear: China‑Russia’s Strategic Embrace and What It Means for a New World Order

Introduction In a world reshaping at an unprecedented pace—marked by digital revolutions, geopolitical friction, and shifting alliances—China and Russia’s deepening partnership stands out as one of the most consequential developments. Their “Dragon‑Bear” alliance, framed as a response to Western constraints, represents a bold attempt to redraw international power maps. 1. Shared Stories of Historical Victimhood…

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Minna Bank Taps Solana & Fireblocks to Study Stablecoin-Based Payments

In a cutting-edge move, Japan’s Minna Bank is collaborating with Fireblocks, Solana Japan, and TIS to test stablecoins and Web3 wallets on the Solana blockchain. Core pilot goals: Why it matters: Strategic potential:This pilot could revolutionize retail payments, remittances, and tokenized assets while encouraging deeper experimentation with Web3 in regulated finance. Stay tuned:Key milestones include…

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